Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Top 1B/DH*

1.    Manny Raben (NB)*
Hits for a lot of power with a solid average. Dominates LHP while being average against RHP. Knows the strike zone well.
2.    Pete Malone (CIN)
Hits for average with some power. Absolutely crushes LHP, but is merely average against RHP. Has a great eye. Decent defensively.
3.    Milton Kramer (CHR)
Hits for power and average, drives the ball well. Walks a lot. Decent defensively.
4.    William Randall (PHI)*
5.    Harry Darwin (ELP)*
6.    Jeff Owens (NB)
7.    Bret Maas (CSP)*
8.    Geraldo Olivares (CHY)
9.    Doug Robinson (CH2)*
10. Hal Thompson (SEA)

Top Catchers

1.    Walt Burke (HON)
Burke hits for power and average while dominating RHP. He knows the strike zone and works it very well. He’s got a great arm, but is a mediocre game caller.
2.    Malachi Wakefield (HON)
Wakefield hits for power and average. He does a good job driving the ball. Has a good eye. Has an accurate solid arm, and can call a game with the best of the best.
3.    Frank Starr (ELP)
Drives the ball very well and knows the strike zone well. Makes decent contact and has solid power. Not an ideal defender, but can hold his own calling a game.
4.    Enrique Canseco (CHR)
5.    Mel Mays (CHY)
6.    Jean Leonard (ROC)
7.    Morris Evans (CIN)
8.    Peter Chong (CHY)
9.    Rolando Frias (LOU)
10. Dan Mercedes (OTT)

Monday, November 14, 2011

Free Agency Recap

1.        RHP Abdul Helton
Signed w/SYR (1 yr/$4.8M)

A very good signing, one year minimizes the risk involved and comes cheaply.
Grade: A
2.        RHP Vic Francisco
Signed w/CLE (4 yr/$18.0M; mutual option; no-trade clause)
A solid signing as Francisco immediately strengthens any bullpen that he belongs to.
Grade: B
3.        1B Bobby Ray Mercedes
Signed w/ATL (5 yr/$32.2M)
Best hitter in free agency, this contract should expire before he begins to decline.
Grade: A
4.        RHP Kenshin Ogawa
Signed w/LOU (5 yr/$40.0M; player option)
The most controversial contract of the offseason, Ogawa is in decline already and Louisville locked him up for 5 more years.
Grade: D-
5.        1B Pedro Navarre
Signed w/SYR (1 yr/$3.3M)
 A solid hitter, Navarre will anchor an already strong Syracuse offense.
Grade: A
6.        DH Yamid Javier
Signed w/SYR (1 yr/$1.0M)
Solid hitter, although hurt now, this was an excellent depth signing.
Grade: A
7.        DH Torey Acosta
Signed w/LOU (1 yr/$2.2M)
Good signing to help boost an offense that struggled last season.
Grade: A
8.        RHP Raul Saez
Signed w/ROC (1 yr/$700k)
Has the ability to really strengthen a bullpen that blew 12 saves last season.
Grade: A
9.        RHP Jim Phillips
Signed w/SYR (2 yr/$12.6M)
After blowing 15 saves last season, Syracuse is really focusing on strengthening the bullpen and Phillips should be key.
Grade: B
10.     LF Louie Gil
Signed w/RIC (2 yr/$8.1M; mutual option)
Already a strong offense, Richmond improves by adding Gil.
Grade: A
11.     RHP Lawrence Schultz
Unsigned
12.     1B Einar Lopez
Signed w/ELP (2 yr/$4.5M)
A solid hitter, should help to improve El Paso’s offense.
Grade: A
13.     C Rolando Frias
Signed w/LOU (1 yr/$3.2M)
The best FA C really addresses a Louisville weakness as he can both call games and hit.
Grade: A
14.     RHP Vinny Iwamura
Signed w/NB (2 yr/$2.8M)
Solid signing, not much risk here.
Grade: A
15.     RHP Howard Lyon
Signed w/SEA (1 yr/$4.0M)
Very good signing as he should help solidify the Seattle bullpen.
Grade: A
16.     RHP Edgard Santana
Signed w/ARI (3 yr/$16.2M)
Another good signing, should provide plenty of quality innings and is still young.
Grade: B
17.     RHP Willie Cela
Signed w/MNT (2 yr/$3.2M)
An “old” pro, Cela’s signing does provide experience at a good price.
Grade: B
18.     3B Scott Charleston
Signed w/JAC (3 yr/$20.8M; mutual option)
Although rated as a SS, he can hit well enough to be a factor at 3B.
Grade: B
19.     RHP Ruben Morales
Signed w/CLE (2 yr/$5.2M)
A very good value signing.
Grade: B
20.     LHP Rex Wheat
Signed w/PHI (5 yr/$44.0M; team option)
Did Philadelphia overpay for a wild pitcher with some talent?
Grade: C

Monday, November 7, 2011

Top FA By Position


Top FA C
1.       Rolando Frias (RIC)
Hits for contact with some power. Drives the ball with some authority. Has a good eye. Strong arm, decent accuracy. Decent game-caller.
2.       Larry Montague (MNT)
Average at making contact, with some power. Struggles with his consistency. Decent eye. Strong arm, average accuracy. Great at calling a game.
3.       Stan Seneca (LV)
Dominate LHP with some power. Decent at avoiding the strikeout. Average consistency against RHP. Good eye. Fast for a catcher. Solid arm. Average game-caller.

Top FA 1B/DH
1.       1B Bobby Ray Mercedes (LV)
Dominant against RHP, solid against LHP. Good eye. Doesn’t strike out much and will hit some home runs. Average defensively.
2.       1B Pedro Navarra (PHI)
Makes solid contact while hitting for some power. Good against LHP, solid against RHP. Good eye. Average defensively.
3.       DH Yamid Javier (SEA)
Makes good contact. Dominates LHP, ok against RHP. Average power. Solid eye. Defensive liability if he sees the field.

Top FA 2B
1.       Robb Fordham (MNT)
Consistently drives the ball well. Average power, average contact. Solid eye. Sub-par defensively. Good speed.
2.       Sal Latham (PHI)
Makes good contact. Average at driving the ball. Lacks power. Great eye. Solid baserunner with decent speed. Below average defensively.
3.       Chipper Easley (SYR)
Great contact. Next to no power. Average at driving the ball. Decent eye. Great range, but not much else going for him defensively.

Top FA 3B
1.       Tony Davis (CIN)
Drives the ball well on a consistent basis. Average power, average contact. Decent eye. Lacks ideal range, but is solid with the glove. Probably better off at 2B or COF.
2.       Brady Lester (CHR)
Makes solid contact. Average consistency at driving the ball. Solid eye. Lacks power. Solid defensively. Good baserunner with good speed.
3.       Hugh Thurman (ATL)
Solid power, solid contact. Average consistency. Decent eye. Solid baserunner with average speed. Good glove, good arm. Average range.

Top FA SS
1.       Scott Charleston (LR)
Not a true SS, he’d be better off at 3B where he would make a solid defender. He’s good at making contact with solid power. Solid consistency at driving the ball. Good eye. Not much of a baserunner.
2.       Bernie Mendoza (CLB)
Strikes out a lot. Decent power. Struggles against LHP. Solid against RHP. Good eye. Good baserunner with decent speed. Lacks ideal range or arm strength, but makes up for that with good glove and accuracy.
3.       Louis Punto (NB)
Makes good contact with lots of power. Struggles to consistently square the bat to the ball. Below average eye. Solid baserunner with good speed. Good range with solid glove…very good arm.

Top FA LF
1.       Louie Guiel (TOR)
Makes good contact with decent power. Hits the ball well against LHP & RHP. Good eye. Very poor speed. Not a good defender.
2.       Paulie Williams (LOU)
Makes good contact. Lacks ideal power. Solid at driving the ball. Great eye. Not an ideal defender. Great baserunner.
3.       Jerry Fischer (LA)
Good power and contact. Consistent at driving the ball. Good eye. Solid baserunner, decent speed. Not a good defender.

Top FA CF
1.       Patrick Brown (LR)
A defensive specialist. Great speed. Great eye. Poor offensive player.
2.       Victor Randolph (LA)
Lacks ideal range, but decent glove. Decent speed. Makes solid contact with a little power. Better against RHP. Solid eye. Decent baserunner.
3.       Santo Valdivia (MNT)
Makes good contact. Does not drive the ball consistently. Decent eye. Very good baserunner with great speed. Good range, not a great glove.

Top FA RF
1.       Glen Theriot (LV)
Solid at making contact. Decent power. Above average at driving the ball. Decent eye. Solid defensively.
2.       Alvin Petkovsek (CLB)
Average power and contact. Dominates LHP. Solid against RHP. Good eye. Good range/glove, poor arm.
3.       Phil Simms (CIN)
Better against LHP than RHP. Solid power to go along with average contact. Decent eye. Good range and arm strength.

Top FA SP
1.       Kenshin Ogawa (PHI)
One of the best pitchers in the world, Ogawa dominates RHB while doing solid jobs against LHB. Lacks velocity, but does get a lot of groundballs. Solid control. Won’t go really deep into games anymore. Still has 4 good to very good pitches.
2.       Rex Wheat (LR)
Lacks good control. Does a great job keeping the ball out of the hitting zone. Allows a lot of fly balls. Has 4 good to very good pitches. His stamina and control will not allow him to go deep into games.
3.       Manuel Lira (MNT)
Great control, although he struggles some with keeping the ball out of the hitting zone. Great velocity, 1 great and 1 good pitch. Great job at keeping the ball on the ground. Not the best stamina.

Top FA RP
1.       Abdul Helton (LOU)
Great control. Dominates RHB and is good against LHB. Good velocity. Good groundball pitcher. Great pitch, good pitch, average pitch. Lacks an ideal stamina/durability combination to be as effective as he once was.
2.       Vic Francisco (SEA)
Does a good job avoiding bats. Keeps the ball in the strike zone. Lacks the velocity one looks for from the back-end of the bullpen. Has 3 pitches that range from average to very good. Allows a lot of fly balls. Has a good stamina/durability combination.
3.       Raul Saez (PHI)
Lacks ideal stamina/durability combination. Does well against RHB, but struggles a little more against LHB. Lacks ideal velocity. Has 5 pitches ranging from above average to below average. Forces more GBs than normal.

Friday, August 12, 2011

Free Agent Analysis


Biggest Surprise:
Philadelphia signing #12 FA LHP Norberto Dotel…you have a team that finished top 3 in the AL in most pitching categories, yet was middle of the pack offensively, and you expect them to hit the offensive FA  list hard…they grab a top-notch pitcher instead.

Biggest Gamble:
Jackson signing LHP Fonzie Becker. If Becker can stave off his decline, this move will look like a genius move in 4 years. The addition of a $17.0M, mutual option (5th year) was a brilliant move, unfortunately Jackson runs the risk of being on the hook for that $17.0M in year 5 when Becker could be a long reliever by then. The decline of Becker would worry me beyond belief.  

Best Value:
RHP Gill Bechler. Richmond played this right, giving the #9 overall FA 3 years at $7.6M ($2.5M/year). To obtain a reliever with a career 3.39 ERA and 1.14 WHIP for that price is unheard of…especially after watching the money paid to some of the relievers on the market.

Worst Value:
RHP Abdul Helton. Louisville panicked here when they saw the #4 FA still on the market. They could’ve gotten him cheaper and $5.2M is a lot of money to pay for 40-50 IP.

Team that added the most talent:
Louisville. The Steamboats signed a league-leading 5 top 50 free agents. After losing 93 games last season, were these additions enough to stem the tide or should they have been more active in FA.

Team that lost the most talent:
Philadelphia – The Freedom lost a total of 7 top 50 free agents. They managed to grab one of them back in RHP Chris Moeller, but in the grand scheme of things, they lost a ton of talent (14 FA overall).