Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Pitching Analysis

ERA (down 5.38%)
S1: 4.43
S2: 4.24
S3: 4.19

WHIP (down 2.39%)
S1: 1.41
S2: 1.39
S3: 1.38

Strikeouts (down 2.68%)
S1: 36,088
S2: 35,836
S3: 35,120

BB (down 5.79%)
S1: 17,429
S2: 16,844
S3: 16,419

Save/SVO/Save %
S1: 1,458/1,994/73.12%
S2: 1,452/1,960/74.08%
S3: 1,46/1,954/74.72%

CG (up 13.04%)
S1: 115
S2: 117
S3: 130

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Record Setters

Rochester 3B/1B/COF Douglas Hobbes set the record for Home Runs (60) and RBI (174). Hobbes is a finalist for the AL MVP while starting 20+ games at 1B, 3B, LF, and 89 in RF. His contributions helped Rochester to the 4th best record in the AL and a #6 seed in the playoffs.

Toronto's Alfredo Arias stole a league-record 93 bases while only getting caught 11 times while playing RF for the Beavers.

Only one pitching record fell and that was broken by 3 players. The ultimate record-holder is Anaheim CL Randy Murray who saved 53 of 57 games for the division winning, #2 seed Knights. He also won the Fireman of the Year award in the NL.

Monday, January 17, 2011

Playoff Odds by tk21775

With the Las Vegas Bookies baseball season over, we go back to what we apparently do better: Gambling. The Bookies released their playoff lines this morning and also issued this statement: "Just because we couldn't swing our bats at the plate, doesn't mean we've forgotten how to collect." Good luck to all in the playoffs

American League:
Seattle Pilots +200
Chicago Black Sox -250

Texas Wildcats +125
Rochester Redbirds -150

National League:
New York Highlanders +250
Ottawa Outlaws -300

New Orleans Zydeco -125
Los Angeles Tiger Sharks +115

To Win World Series:
New York Highlanders +5000
Seattle Pilots +3500
Texas Wildcats +3000
Los Angeles Tiger Sharks +2900
New Orleans Zydeco +2700
Rochester Redbirds +2700
Chicago Black Sox +2500
Anaheim Knights +2000
Ottawa Outlaws +1750
New Britain Rock Cats +1000
Philadelphia Freedom +750
Columbus Aeros +500

Division to win World Series:
AL -110
NL -110

Playoffs

The playoffs are upon us. We're just going to do a real quick glance at the teams and where they rank in Runs Scored, ERA, and Fldg %.

AMERICAN LEAGUE
1. Philadelphia Freedom (103-59) (827, 3.60, .986)

4. Seattle Pilots (81-81) (783, 4.28, .983)
vs
5. Chicago Black Sox (93-69) (893, 4.45, .983)

2. New Britain Rock Cats (100-62) (853, 3.56, .981)

3. Texas Wildcats (88-74) (773, 4.12, .986)
vs
6. Rochester Redbirds (91-71) (862, 3.94, .988)

NATIONAL LEAGUE
1. Columbus Aeros (108-54) (790, 3.22, .988)

4. New York Highlanders (78-84) (672, 4.03, .985)
vs
5. Ottawa Outlaws (99-63) (767, 3.75, .985)

2. Anaheim Knights (97-65) (715, 3.60, .987)

3. New Orleans Zydeco (91-71) (758, 3.83, .985)
vs
6. Los Angeles Tiger Sharks (89-73) (663, 3.34, .982)

Friday, January 7, 2011

Pitching Records That Might Fall

This season, there are 3 records that are likely to fall. We will take a look at those records.

ERA - Kenshin Ogawa - S2 - 2.04

Contender
Roberto Beltre (LAA) - 1.87
Although he hasn't had a full season, he still qualifies to hold the record at the end of this season. With roughly 6 starts remaining, he can still give up 11 earned runs in 38 innings and still break the record. There is a very good chance that this record falls for the 2nd straight season.

WHIP - Kenshin Ogawa - S2 - 0.92


Contenders
Roberto Beltre (LAA) - 0.90
With about 38 innings left for Beltre this season, there is a very good chance that this record falls again. He can allow 37 baserunners in his 38 innings and still break the record.

Sid Richard (LA) - 0.95
Richard is in a tough position...in order for him to be the record-holder, he not only has to allow fewer than 33 baserunners in approximately 43 innings, but he has to hope that Beltre really slides backwards during his remaining innings. He likely will not be the record holder at the end of the season.

SAVES - Jim Phillips - S1 - 49


Contenders
Randy Murray (LAA) - 45
Even though his team pretty much has the division in hand and are in the driver's seat for the 1st round bye, there's still a chance of securing the #1 seed in the NL, so he should still see plenty of chances. He has saved 54% of his team's victories. You are likely looking at our new record-holder here.
Projection - 55

Phillips (NB) - 44
Considering he's on a contender, he's very likely to break this record. He's saved 52% of his teams wins this season. If they continue at their current pace, he's going to break his own record with room to spare.
Projection - 53

Thursday, January 6, 2011

Hitting Records That Might Fall

HOME RUNS
Yorman Chavez - S1 - 59


CONTENDERS

Douglas Hobbes (ROC) - 49
With his team being 6.0 games in the lead for the second wildcard, but only 5.0 games out from the division title, Hobbes does not look to get much, if any, rest for the remainder of the season. Hitting a home run every 10.9 ABs and having anywhere from 120-140 ABs left gives Hobbes a very good chance at breaking this record.
Projection: 60

Edgar Lucano (CHR) - 48
Lucano's team resides in the worst division in Billy Beane, yet it is a dogfight for the division title with all 4 teams within 7.0 games of first. There will be no rest for this guy and it bodes well for him. With a home run every 11.3 ABs and about 120 ABs remaining, he's likely to tie the old record.
Projection: 59

RUNS BATTED IN
Morgan Johnson - S1 - 168


CONTENDERS
Hobbes (ROC)- 135
Hobbes is averaging an RBI every 3.95 ABs and with about 120 ABs remaining, it is not likely that he breaks the record, but should take over the #2 spot in the record books.
Projection: 166

Eddie Lloyd (CH2) - 129
With an RBI every 4.18 ABs and about 120 or so ABs available in the season, Lloyd has an outside chance at this record. What works in his favor is that his team is locked in a very close divisional race and he should see playing time until the end.
Projection: 158

STOLEN BASES
Andres Hernandez - S1 - 81


CONTENDERS
Alfredo Arias (TOR) - 71/80
Toiling on the last-place team in the best division in the world, Arias and his Beavers still have a shot at the wild-card slot, so he likely won't see much rest, if at all. He is very likely to be the record holder at the end of the season.
Projection: 87

Victor Corpas (TOR) - 66/71
See above regarding his team. He hasn't run as much, and is less likely to break this record.
Projection: 80

Quentin Metcalfe (CSP) - 63/67
8 games out with 30 to go is a long road to hoe, and it's unlikely his team will make up that difference, yet with no young CFer's to get a look at, he's likely going to play out the season at his 94% success rate of stealing bases. He's got an outside shot at getting this record.
Projection: 77

Hitting Streak Record Broken!

Texas Wildcats DH/1B Bingo Jepsen strung together hits in 27 straight games this season, setting a record for Billy Beane that has been broken every season. The streak started on 12/12 AM with a 3-hit day against Cleveland and ended against Cheyenne when he went 0-2 with 2 BB on 12/21 PM2. This 27-game hitting streak was part of a larger streak that saw him reach base safely in 46 consecutive games that was broken when he made an appearance in the 12/29 PM2 game but did not make a plate appearance...if you take into account games where he made a plate appearance, he reached base safely in 49 straight games.

During his record-setting 27-game hitting streak, Bingo hit .416 with a .496 OBP. He collected 9 2Bs, and 5 HRs, knocked in 29 while scoring 14 runs. He only struck out 9 times during this streak.

Congratulations!